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Tashkent Stock Exchanges enhances domestic marketing efforts.

 

AFC Uzbekistan Fund January 2024 Update

 

Dear Investors and Friends,

January saw more 2023 annual statistics published which were all very positive, while the month was another quiet one for the Tashkent Stock Exchange as prices drifted lower. However, on 31st January 2024, the Tashkent Stock Exchange launched a new marketing tool to promote investment in the capital markets. For January 2024 the fund NAV fell to an estimated USD 1,679 (-3.4%) or +67.9% since inception on 29th March 2019.


AFC Uzbekistan Fund valuations as of 31st January 2023:

 Estimated weighted harmonic average trailing P/E (only companies with profit):

4.58x
 Estimated weighted harmonic average P/B: 0.93x
 Estimated weighted portfolio dividend yield: 3.50%

 

2023 Macro-economic data

To further sum up 2023, GDP reached USD 90.8 billion for the year, translating into GDP per capita of USD 2,468. GDP per capita however is skewed in Uzbekistan as the State makes up roughly 50% of GDP while the mining and chemical industries represent the majority of its contribution. Nonetheless, it is still moving in the right direction, having grown 68% since we entered the market in 2018, and the increase in per-capita wealth is clearly visible for those who have visited the country. We don’t anticipate this trend changing anytime soon as Uzbekistan is still at an early stage of development and is continuing to undergo rapid transformation.

 
 

 

(Source: Stat.uz, AFC Research)

 

Further, tourism is back to its pre-pandemic peak, reaching 6.6 million tourists in 2023, just shy of the 6.7 million peak reached in 2019 before the pandemic. We have long believed (and I felt personally, being based in Tashkent) that if it were not for the pandemic, Uzbekistan would be in a much more advanced state of growth. Last year, the country got back in its stride as momentum on various reforms from liberalization of utilities to a focus on capital markets development and attracting more foreign direct investments picked up. Poor government responses globally to COVID-19 slowed Uzbekistan’s growth trajectory. Still the coming years should see an acceleration as we continue to believe there is no reason Uzbekistan won’t become the largest economy in Central Asia within the next two decades, catching up to the raw materials exporting powerhouse (oil, gas, copper, gold, uranium) to the north, Kazakhstan.

 

 

(Source: Stat.uz, AFC Research)

 

Tashkent Stock Exchange marketing

The past few months we have discussed a new capital markets platform that will be launched by a friend of ours and which we plan to highlight next month. In the meantime, on 31st January 2024, the Tashkent Stock Exchange, in partnership with the State Unitary Enterprise "Information and Resource Center of the Stock Market”, announced the launch of a Telegram bot (similar to a social media channel on WhatsApp) for capital markets information. Having explored the channel, it is quite well built with coverage of all listed companies, company news filings, and analytics. The platform is in Russian, Uzbek, and English and is being marketed locally by the exchange. As financial instruments outside of bank term deposits are not widely held by the Uzbek population, it is encouraging to see the exchange pushing for increased visibility of the capital markets, and which is good timing, in line with the tax incentives for Uzbek investors which was discussed in our December 2023 update.

AFC Uzbekistan Tour 2024

For those interested in visiting Uzbekistan with us, we are planning our third AFC Uzbekistan Tour, which will be held from Sunday 19th May 2024 to Tuesday 21st May 2024. We will begin on the 19th with a day tour of Tashkent, followed by company meetings and site visits on the 20th and 21st. If you are interested in joining, please write us at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..

 

 

AFC Uzbekistan Fund Marketing Information as of the end of December 2023

 
 
 

 

 

 

Disclaimer:

This Newsletter is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. No such offer or solicitation will be made prior to the delivery of the Offering Documents. Before making an investment decision, potential investors should review the Offering Documents and inform themselves as to the legal requirements and tax consequences within the countries of their citizenship, residence, domicile and place of business with respect to the acquisition, holding or disposal of shares, and any foreign exchange restrictions that may be relevant thereto. This newsletter is not intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law and regulation, and is intended solely for the use of the person to whom it is intended. The information and opinions contained in this Newsletter have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources deemed reliable. Opinions expressed are current as of the date appearing in this Newsletter only. Neither Asia Frontier Capital Ltd (AFCL), nor any of its subsidiaries or affiliates will make any representation or warranty to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Certain information contained herein constitutes “forward-looking statements”, which can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “project”, “estimate”, “intend”, or “believe” or the negatives thereof or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events or results or the actual performance of Funds managed by AFCL or its subsidiaries and affiliates may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

For Switzerland only: This is an advertising document. The state of the origin of the fund is the Cayman Islands. This document may only be provided to qualified investors within the meaning of art. 10 para. 3 and 3ter CISA. In Switzerland, the representative is Acolin Fund Services AG, Leutschenbachstrasse 50, 8050 Zurich, Switzerland, whilst the paying agent is NPB Neue Privat Bank AG, Limmatquai 1 / am Bellevue, 8024 Zurich, Switzerland. The basic documents of the fund report may be obtained free of charge from the representative. Past performance is no indication of current or future performance. The performance data do not take account of the commissions, if any, and fund transfer costs incurred on the issue and redemption of units.

AFC Asia Frontier Fund is registered for sale to qualified/professional investors in Japan, Singapore, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States. 

By accessing information contained herein, users are deemed to be representing and warranting that they are either a Hong Kong Professional Investor or are observing the applicable laws and regulations of their relevant jurisdictions.

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